You are presumed to be honest and responsible without evidence to the contrary beyond a reasonable doubt… on the balance of probablilties you are justified by 51 % likelyhood.
Filed under: Uncategorized by percypaschal — Leave a comment
February 10, 2024
Northeaster
The storm front of historical fame is headed east. Northeasters have brought grief to eastern shipping for generations, one is coming for Valentine’s day.
Hug your beau
For all those affected over generations give a comforting embrace.
Some forecasters are anticipating a change from El Nino to La Nina meaning quieter water in the Pacific in the Southern hemisphere and above. This may drastically change our weather if the current El nino collapses suddenly for this summer.
Currents,winds, colder water at depth and many other Dynamics make for weather from climate.
Quieter surface water in the tropical make for heating that will eventually turn to storms which will make way for colder water from below.
Boiling oceans
A Spector that the UN raised when water off the Florida coast was documented at 100° f, the boiling point of water is 212°f. So this concern was probably justified as analogy but a stretch and overly exaggerated,or underappreciated as to the scale of such a condition might be. Water does boil at 100 degrees Celsius, this may occur in volcanic conditions but how much is not a lot in the scope of all the inputs to weather. Warning ⚠️ remains potent as we take on views that safety and environment is not a given. So,get above just copying and live as every moment and interaction is blessed.
Ontario recent forecast is typical of the work of weather in flows. An artic outflow in January brought cold to BC as it flowed across it to the Pacific and created weather out of the currents and flows it abated.
Eco systems by patterns
We live in ecosystems created by weather patterns and the adaptation of flora and fauna in the natural world. Many inputs from humankind can and will influence climate and weather. Although ultimately we remain in a precarious dependency on forces that we control less than we believe we do we are to be thankful that climate produces weather and we adapt to it to prosper in a natural way. So that hope remains.
Catastrophic inputs always a reality.
What else can be said don’t take it personal when these events surprise. You are only a person, subject to random, for good and not so much.
British Columbia is known for its impressive snow pack, especially in the mountainous regions. The abundant snowfall in BC contributes to the province’s popular ski resorts and winter tourism industry. The snow pack not only provides ample opportunities for outdoor activities such as skiing, snowboarding, and snowshoeing, but also plays a crucial role in maintaining the ecosystem and water supply during the warmer months. Many people visit British Columbia specifically to experience the beauty and recreational opportunities offered by its significant snow pack.
The current snow pack levels in British Columbia are closely monitored, as they play a vital role in various aspects of the province. The abundant snowfall contributes to the region’s popular ski resorts and winter tourism industry, providing ample opportunities for outdoor activities such as skiing, snowboarding, and snowshoeing. Additionally, the snow pack plays a crucial role in maintaining the ecosystem and water supply during the warmer months, making it an essential aspect of British Columbia’s natural environment. Many people visit British Columbia specifically to experience the beauty and recreational opportunities offered by its significant snow pack.
Over time weather made man, man has only made weather in the recent years of industrailization.
Climate makes weather
From the formation of small tribes to the rise of vast empires, the evolution of human societies has been a remarkable journey marked by cultural, technological, and political advancements. Small tribes, often formed around kinship ties and shared cultural practices, gradually transitioned into complex civilizations with large territorial holdings and sophisticated governmental structures. This progression was driven by various factors such as agriculture, trade, conquest, and religious or ideological movements. The transformation of small, localized communities into vast empires not only reshaped political landscapes but also fostered the exchange of ideas, goods, and innovations on a global scale, contributing to the rich tapestry of human history.
No weather no life
An empire is a strong entity, Kings of Kings made organising a feat of neccesity when good weather made healthy factions it also made rivals out of competitors coming out of tribal instincts war was a real factor in possessing the best weather related lands. So, climate made for weather that in cycles made Empires.
Kadesh treaty
The very first peace treaty is in the United Nations entrance in New York city. Between the Hittites and another tribe ( Egypt) of the fertile crescent reach area the peoples enjoyed the bounty of the area as the world slowly broke free of the the Ice age and crops made for prosperous food supplies. This changed the dynamics of tribal conflict and aggrement over sharing by treaty was attractive. Losses in war and conflict over hunting areas were mitigated thanks to good weather from the changing climate.
El Niño is a weather phenomenon that occurs every few years in the tropical Pacific Ocean. It refers to the warming of the ocean surface, which leads to changes in atmospheric circulation and weather patterns worldwide. During El Niño events, we often see increased rainfall in some parts of the world and drought in others. This phenomenon can have significant impacts on global weather patterns, influencing temperature, precipitation, and storm activity. It is an essential component of the complex climate system, and monitoring El Niño is crucial for understanding and predicting weather patterns on a regional and global scale. Source IN generated Ai.
An ancient affect
Weather systems have been affected by the El Nino/La Nina effects for perhaps thousands of years in the sense of humanity living at its consequences.
Nov 14th 2021
Flooding occurred in British Columbia that severely damaged infrastructure, crops, cattle, chickens, and caused a long-term evacuation of numbers of people something not used to by the people British Columbia.
Wind ward and lee ward sides of barriers to fronts.
We have seen the effects of barriers coming from the windward side, moist air from the Pacific Ocean and transferred into the clouds dumping huge amounts of rain in very short order just before the lee side of a barrier.
Temperature differences are sometimes mitigated by the drag effect of the currents that were created by El Nino as they continue colder water comes up from below surface to close to surface after the effect of the warm water going into the clouds is accomplished.
In particular British Columbia then can have some fairly good size pools of cold water in the Pacific this affecting our shores. Yes the increase in temperature globally including the amount of warm surface water coming out of the tropics is powerful and it doesn’t take rocket science, but more and better observation, to mitigate the effects of warm/cold water as it moves about.
Environment Canada says that there are no alerts in effect at this hour. Mondays high temperature is forecast for 34°C. Dropping to 24 c Tuesday, with a 60% chance of showers.
Monday UV
The Ultra Violet index will be 8 or high. Take care.
The weather today in Merritt, BC is cloudy with a high of 19 degrees celsius and a low of 8 degrees celsius. The current temperature is 14 degrees celsius. There is an 8% chance of precipitation and a 6 UV index. The sunrise time was 5:05 AM and the sunset time will be 8:54 PM1.
Weather Thursday to the end of May.
2023-05-25
26 °C
9 °C
6
20%
Partly sunny
2023-05-26
28 °C
11 °C
7
6%
Sunny
2023-05-27
27 °C
12 °C
6
26%
Mostly cloudy
2023-05-28
26 °C
11 °C
7
10%
Partly sunny
2023-05-29
27 °C
9 °C
8
1%
Sunny
2023-05-30
26 °C
8 °C
5
0%
Sunny
2023-05-31
29 °C
10 °C
5
1%
Sunny
Merritt BC Canada daily temperature to end of May, source Bing